Profit projections only tell half the story. Use the same mathematics to see what an adverse strategy move could mean relative to contributed capital.
Try an example: enter the amount you would deposit, choose the programme multiplier and enter a hypothetical percentage result for the underlying strategy. The calculator shows what that could mean for your own capital.
Illustrative monthly upside
+$2,016
Net return on your capital +20.16%
Amplified capital
$240,000
Gross profit
+$2,880
Performance fee
-$864
Equivalent downside
-$2,880
Loss on your capital -28.80%
Capital remaining
$7,120
Recovery required
+40.45%
Underlying result
-1.20%
What if Sonic's historical average repeated?
$226,944
Illustrative capital after 17 months if the same calculated net monthly return repeated and every profit was reinvested.
Starting capital
$10,000
Monthly net assumption
+20.16%
Illustrative gain
+$216,944
Historical scenario, not a forecast. The default inputs use a 1.20% underlying monthly result, 24X amplification and a 30% performance fee, producing about 20.16% net in this simplified model. The referenced Sonic history and user-reported experience do not guarantee that any future month will repeat this result.
Illustrative mathematics only. Real trading results vary and can include losing months, drawdowns, execution differences and programme-rule changes. Compounding assumes the same positive net result every month and full reinvestment of profits; actual results will not follow a smooth compounding curve.
What different losses mean at 24X
Strategy loss
Loss vs own capital
$10,000 example
Remaining
-0.10%
-2.40%
-$240
$9,760
-0.25%
-6.00%
-$600
$9,400
-0.50%
-12.00%
-$1,200
$8,800
-1.00%
-24.00%
-$2,400
$7,600
-2.00%
-48.00%
-$4,800
$5,200
-3.00%
-72.00%
-$7,200
$2,800
-4.00%
-96.00%
-$9,600
$400
Why the risk can accelerate quickly
At 24X, a simplified 0.50% adverse move corresponds to 12% of the original contribution. A 1% adverse move corresponds to 24%. Real trading outcomes can differ because programme rules, position sizing, execution and liquidation may intervene.
A 4% strategy move is not just “four times 1%” psychologically
Under the simplified 24X relationship, a 4% adverse strategy move corresponds to 96% of contributed capital. Once losses become large, recovery mathematics becomes increasingly unforgiving: losing half of capital requires a 100% gain on what remains just to return to the starting point.
A live track record can show the largest drawdown observed so far. It cannot establish the largest drawdown that will ever occur. Different market regimes, execution conditions and strategy behaviour can produce outcomes outside the historical sample.
Do not confuse capital amplification with broker leverage. They describe different layers of a trading arrangement and should not simply be multiplied together.
If you are researching Sonic AI, compare these scenarios with the public strategy record and the programme's stated amplification mechanics rather than using the table as a prediction.